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fm58hufi
Discounting the future
Commits
549dd5fc
Commit
549dd5fc
authored
2 years ago
by
fm58hufi
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R_Scripts/mnl_CMI_id_cont.R
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549dd5fc
### Initialise code
apollo_initialise
()
### Set core controls
apollo_control
=
list
(
modelName
=
"MNL_SP"
,
modelDescr
=
"Simple MNL model on mode choice SP data"
,
indivID
=
"id"
,
outputDirectory
=
"Output"
,
panelData
=
TRUE
)
# ################################################################# #
#### DEFINE MODEL PARAMETERS ####
# ################################################################# #
### Vector of parameters, including any that are kept fixed in estimation
apollo_beta
=
c
(
asc_a
=
0
,
asc_b
=
0
,
b_profit
=
1
,
b_hold
=
0
,
b_loc
=
0
,
b_admin1
=
0
,
b_admin2
=
0
,
b_hold_CMI
=
0
,
b_hold_Q35_1
=
0
,
b_hold_Q35_1_CMI
=
0
)
### Vector with names (in quotes) of parameters to be kept fixed at their starting value in apollo_beta, use apollo_beta_fixed = c() if none
apollo_fixed
=
c
()
# ################################################################# #
#### GROUP AND VALIDATE INPUTS ####
# ################################################################# #
apollo_inputs
=
apollo_validateInputs
()
# ################################################################# #
#### DEFINE MODEL AND LIKELIHOOD FUNCTION ####
# ################################################################# #
apollo_probabilities
=
function
(
apollo_beta
,
apollo_inputs
,
functionality
=
"estimate"
){
### Attach inputs and detach after function exit
apollo_attach
(
apollo_beta
,
apollo_inputs
)
on.exit
(
apollo_detach
(
apollo_beta
,
apollo_inputs
))
### Create list of probabilities P
P
=
list
()
### List of utilities: these must use the same names as in mnl_settings, order is irrelevant
V
=
list
()
V
[[
"alt1"
]]
=
asc_a
+
b_profit
*
profit1
-
b_hold
*
hold1
-
b_hold_CMI
*
hold1
*
CMI
-
b_hold_Q35_1_CMI
*
hold1
*
CMI
*
Q35_1
-
b_hold_Q35_1
*
hold1
*
Q35_1
+
b_loc
*
loc1
+
b_admin1
*
admin_11
+
b_admin2
*
admin_21
V
[[
"alt2"
]]
=
asc_b
+
b_profit
*
profit2
-
b_hold
*
hold2
-
b_hold_CMI
*
hold2
*
CMI
-
b_hold_Q35_1_CMI
*
hold2
*
CMI
*
Q35_1
-
b_hold_Q35_1
*
hold2
*
Q35_1
+
b_loc
*
loc2
+
b_admin1
*
admin_12
+
b_admin2
*
admin_22
V
[[
"alt3"
]]
=
b_profit
*
profit3
### Define settings for MNL model component
mnl_settings
=
list
(
alternatives
=
c
(
alt1
=
1
,
alt2
=
2
,
alt3
=
3
),
avail
=
1
,
choiceVar
=
choosen
,
utilities
=
V
)
### Compute probabilities using MNL model
P
[[
"model"
]]
=
apollo_mnl
(
mnl_settings
,
functionality
)
### Take product across observation for same individual
P
=
apollo_panelProd
(
P
,
apollo_inputs
,
functionality
)
### Prepare and return outputs of function
P
=
apollo_prepareProb
(
P
,
apollo_inputs
,
functionality
)
return
(
P
)
}
# ################################################################# #
#### MODEL ESTIMATION ####
# ################################################################# #
model_CMI_Q35_1
=
apollo_estimate
(
apollo_beta
,
apollo_fixed
,
apollo_probabilities
,
apollo_inputs
)
# ################################################################# #
#### MODEL OUTPUTS ####
# ################################################################# #
# ----------------------------------------------------------------- #
#---- FORMATTED OUTPUT (TO SCREEN) ----
# ----------------------------------------------------------------- #
apollo_modelOutput
(
model_CMI_Q35_1
)
# ----------------------------------------------------------------- #
#---- FORMATTED OUTPUT (TO FILE, using model name) ----
# ----------------------------------------------------------------- #
summary
(
model_CMI_Q35_1
)
m
<-
mean
(
database
$
Q35_1
)
sd
<-
sd
(
database
$
Q35_1
)
min
<-
min
(
database
$
CMI
)
max
<-
max
(
database
$
CMI
)
x_list
=
seq
(
min
,
max
,
0.1
)
# Results Table V
deltaMethod_settings
=
list
(
expression
=
c
(
paste0
(
mean_rate
=
"100*(b_hold/b_profit+b_hold_Q35_1/b_profit*"
,(
m
-
sd
),
")"
)))
apollo_deltaMethod
(
model_CMI_Q35_1
,
deltaMethod_settings
)
deltaMethod_settings
=
list
(
expression
=
c
(
paste0
(
mean_rate
=
"100*(b_hold_CMI/b_profit+b_hold_Q35_1_CMI/b_profit*"
,(
m
-
sd
),
")"
)))
apollo_deltaMethod
(
model_CMI_Q35_1
,
deltaMethod_settings
)
deltaMethod_settings
=
list
(
expression
=
c
(
paste0
(
mean_rate
=
"100*(b_hold/b_profit+b_hold_Q35_1/b_profit*"
,(
m
+
sd
),
")"
)))
apollo_deltaMethod
(
model_CMI_Q35_1
,
deltaMethod_settings
)
deltaMethod_settings
=
list
(
expression
=
c
(
paste0
(
mean_rate
=
"100*(b_hold_CMI/b_profit+b_hold_Q35_1_CMI/b_profit*"
,(
m
+
sd
),
")"
)))
apollo_deltaMethod
(
model_CMI_Q35_1
,
deltaMethod_settings
)
df
<-
data.frame
(
Mean
=
double
(),
Index
=
double
(),
UB
=
double
(),
LB
=
double
(),
ID
=
character
())
i
=
1
for
(
j
in
x_list
){
deltaMethod_settings
=
list
(
expression
=
c
(
paste0
(
mean_rate
=
"100*(b_hold/b_profit+b_hold_CMI/b_profit*"
,
j
,
"+b_hold_Q35_1_CMI/b_profit*"
,
j
,
"*"
,(
m
-
sd
),
"+b_hold_Q35_1/b_profit*"
,(
m
-
sd
),
")"
)))
a
<-
apollo_deltaMethod
(
model_CMI_Q35_1
,
deltaMethod_settings
)
df
[
i
,
"Mean"
]
<-
a
[[
"Value"
]]
df
[
i
,
"Index"
]
<-
j
df
[
i
,
"UB"
]
<-
a
[[
"Value"
]]
+1.96
*
a
[[
"Robust s.e."
]]
df
[
i
,
"LB"
]
<-
a
[[
"Value"
]]
-1.96
*
a
[[
"Robust s.e."
]]
df
[
i
,
"ID"
]
<-
"-1SD"
i
=
i
+1
}
for
(
j
in
x_list
){
deltaMethod_settings
=
list
(
expression
=
c
(
paste0
(
mean_rate
=
"100*(b_hold/b_profit+b_hold_CMI/b_profit*"
,
j
,
"+b_hold_Q35_1_CMI/b_profit*"
,
j
,
"*"
,(
m
+
sd
),
"+b_hold_Q35_1/b_profit*"
,(
m
+
sd
),
")"
)))
a
<-
apollo_deltaMethod
(
model_CMI_Q35_1
,
deltaMethod_settings
)
df
[
i
,
"Mean"
]
<-
a
[[
"Value"
]]
df
[
i
,
"Index"
]
<-
j
df
[
i
,
"UB"
]
<-
a
[[
"Value"
]]
+1.96
*
a
[[
"Robust s.e."
]]
df
[
i
,
"LB"
]
<-
a
[[
"Value"
]]
-1.96
*
a
[[
"Robust s.e."
]]
df
[
i
,
"ID"
]
<-
"+1SD"
i
=
i
+1
}
#Figure
fig_id
<-
ggplot
(
df
,
aes
(
x
=
Index
,
y
=
Mean
,
color
=
ID
,
fill
=
ID
))
+
geom_ribbon
(
aes
(
ymin
=
LB
,
ymax
=
UB
),
alpha
=
.2
)
+
geom_line
()
+
labs
(
x
=
"Collective motivation index"
,
y
=
"Money discount rate in %"
)
fig_id
ggsave
(
"Graphs/CMI_id.png"
)
ggsave
(
"Graphs/CMI_id.tiff"
)
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