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MIT LICENSE
Copyright (c) 2022 Daniel Vedder, Lea Kolb
Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy
of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal
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# Persephone
**An agent-based, socio-economic-ecological model of agricultural landscapes
in Europe under the CAP.**
---
© 2022 Daniel Vedder, Lea Kolb
MIT license
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# Model components & justifications
**Aim: We want to be able to model how key eco-schemes and AECM affect
crop yields, biodiversity, and ESS at a mechanistic level.**
## Farm model
*Lea's model*
- ...
- **Management actions:** Influence habitat availability and mortality of
plants and animals in the landscape (e.g. through tillage, pesticide or
fertiliser application). Timing is important as it interacts with species'
phenologies.
## Nature model
*Daniel's model*
- **Weather:** Temperature and precipitation in the course of a year are two
of the most important predictors of crop yield, as well as influencing the
timing of management actions such as sowing or harvest.
- **Soil:** Water and nutrient content of soil determines rates of plant growth.
Soil organic matter is important for overall soil health, as well as providing
regulatory ESS via carbon sequestration. All three soil properties are modified
by management actions, especially tillage.
-> *I would like to leave this out as it seems rather complicated, but
I do think fertiliser application is important and I don't know how to
include that without also including soil nutrients?*
- **Plants:** Wild plants provide habitat for insects and animals. Crop plants
provide income for farmers. Modelling plant growth allows us to implement
realistic rules for when and why farm actors carry out management actions (e.g.
fertiliser application, grass cutting). Also, plant phenology influences habitat
and food availability for insects and vertebrates.
- **Insects:** Insects provide important ecosystem services and disservices, as
pollinators, pests, and pest control. The abundance of crop-specific pests in
a field is used by farmers to gauge the necessity of pesticide application,
thus their population dynamics influence management actions. Additionally,
insects are important food sources for many vertebrates and therefore relevant
to the animal components.
- **Animals:**
- *Alauda arvensis*: ground-nesting, insectivorous & granivorous
- *Emberiza citrinella*: hedge-nesting, insectivorous & granivorous
- *Milvus milvus*: raptor (?)
- *Cricetus cricetus*: ground-dwelling, herbivorous & insectivorous
- *Maniola jurtina*: low-intensive grassland
- ...
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# Target species
Criteria:
- data availability
- indicator for other species
- habitat requirements (niche complementarity)
- charismatic
- not studied too little or too much
- provide ecosystem services
Exclusion criteria:
- migratory species
- unusual behaviour/population dynamics
- stakeholder conflicts
- too large home range
- Judith could create contacts to bird experts
- Carla is still working on identifying grassland/agricultural specialists
## Birds
**Selected: Feldlerche, Goldammer, Rotmilan** (plus Kiebitz, Neuntöter?)
(5 out of 10 national indicator species for agrarian landscapes)
1. Neuntöter *Lanius collurio*
- 8% decline 2004-2016
- insectivorous, migratory
- open areas with grassland, hedges, forest edges
- national indicator species
- Judith: not mentioned often as an umbrella species
2. Goldammer *Emberiza citrinella*
- very common, but declining
- pretty bird, easy to spot
- 14% decline 2004-2016
- open areas, hedges, forest edges
- national indicator species
- insectivorous juveniles, seed-eating adults
- non-migratory, ground-nesting
- Judith: not mentioned often as an umbrella species
- Feldlerche *Alauda arvensis*
- still common, but conservation concern
- 11% decline 2004-2016
- well-known flagship species
- but also frequently modelled
- ground-nesting
- Braunkehlchen *Saxicola rubetra*
- 41% decline 2004-2016
- quite rare & hard to spot
- meadows, fallows, heathland
- national indicator species
- Grauammer *Emberiza calandra*
- 34% decline 2004-2016
- open areas with perches, field borders, fallows, meadows
- insectivorous juveniles, seed-eating adults
- partly migratory
- Kiebitz *Vanellus vanellus*
- used for Birds@Farmlands conservation schemes
- but rare in TH & BW?
- Rebhuhn *Perdix perdix*
- used for Birds@Farmlands conservation schemes
- Rotmilan (or other raptors, e.g. Wiesenweihe)
- pest control
- Steinkauz
Decline numbers from Deutsche Ornithologen-Gesellschaft, Fachgruppe Agrarvögel
(2019): DO-G Positionspapier: Weiterentwicklung der Gemeinsamen Agrarpolitik
ab 2021. Vogelwarte, 57(4), 345–357.
http://www.do-g.de/fileadmin/DO-G_Positionspapier_Agrarvoegel_21.10.2019_n.pdf
See also Busch et al. (2020): Drivers of population change in common farmland
birds in Germany. Bird Conservation International, 30(3), 335–354.
https://doi.org/10.1017/S0959270919000480
## Butterflies
**Selected: Maniola jurtina, ...**
1. Großes Ochsenauge *Maniola jurtina*
- offene Graslandbiotope
- abhängig von lückigem/kurzem Bewuchs, z.B. durch Mahd/Beweidung
- verschwindet bei intensiver Düngung/mehr als dreimal jährlicher Mahd
- nicht gefährdet
- Kleines Wiesenvögelchen *Coenonympha pamphilus*
- offene Graslandbiotope
- abhängig von lückigem/kurzem Bewuchs, z.B. durch Mahd/Beweidung
- besonders geschützt, nicht gefährdet
- Hauhechelbläuling *Polyommatus icarus*
- *Limenitis reducta*
- Carla: Butterflies of the EU Grassland Butterfly Indicator:
Generalists: Ochlodes sylvanus, Anthocharis cardamines, Lycaena phlaes,
Polyommatus icarus, Lasiommata megera, Coenonympha pamphilus, Maniola jurtina;
Specialists: Erynnis tages, Thymelicus acteon, Spialia sertorius, Cupido minimus,
Phengaris arion, Phengaris nausithous, Lysandra bellargus, Cyaniris semiargus,
Lysandra coridon, Euphydryas aurinia
For modelling butterflies in agricultural landscapes, see:
Sybertz, J., Matthies, S., Schaarschmidt, F., Reich, M., & von Haaren, C. (2017).
Assessing the value of field margins for butterflies and plants: How to document
and enhance biodiversity at the farm scale. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment,
249, 165–176. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2017.08.018
## Mammals
**Selected: ...**
1. Feldhase *Lepus europaeus*
- Äcker und Wiesen
- bekannte, beliebte Art
- wird auch in ALMaSS modelliert
- gefährdet
2. Feldhamster *Cricetus cricetus*
- frisst Pflanzen und Wirbellose
- Ernteschädling, aber stark eingebrochener Bestand
- geschützte Art
- Reh *Capreolus capreolus*
- kleinstrukturierte Landschaften
- Nahrungssuche auf Feldern
- verursacht Ernteschäden
- Feldmaus *Microtus arvalis*
- Äcker, Wiesen, Brachen
- primär vegetarische Ernährung, z.T. Insekten
- häufiger Ernteschädling
- starke Populationszyklen
- Wildkatze *Felis sylvestris*
- Lynx
## Other taxa
- bumble bees
- amphibians?
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